The Eagles face an interesting scenario as a result of yesterday’s World Cup draw. A win against Canada in next summer’s qualifiers would place them in the difficult Pool D with France, Ireland, Italy, and Europe 2, while a loss would put them in the soft Pool B with South Africa, Samoa, Scotland, and Asia 1 (presumably Japan). In my latest piece for RugbyRugby I take a look at the pros and cons of each scenario and come to the conclusion that while an easier pool at the World Cup may offer some hope of glory at the event, finishing ahead of Canada next summer would provide more long-term gains.
Why is Pool B softer than Pool D?
ReplyDeleteFor starters it only has two Tier I nations and Scotland is by far the weakest of that bunch. Samoa has some big wins this last year but hasn't shown the same type of consistency as Ireland and Italy. As I point out in the article, getting wins against any of the automatically qualified teams is difficult and unlikely, but anyone who has watched rugby over the last couple of years would say that the Eagles have a better chance of beating Scotland Samoa rather than Ireland and Italy.
ReplyDeleteBy chance you'll be talking 1 in 50 or 100. Eagles will win 1 game at the RWC regardless the pool they are in. In pool B they might not win one game.
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